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001 - The Venture Capitalist Perspective

 

 
Venture capitalists, especially those that focus on financing early-stage technology companies, get bombarded with proposals outlining business concepts at various stages of development. To give you an example, the staff at one prominent US based VC consider about 12,000 business plans in any given year, and finance about 15. To deal with such volumes, VCs must quickly be able to sift through such concepts by determining the answer to some key questions.

Internet entrepreneurs considering raising venture capital to finance their companies would be well-served by asking similar questions of themselves and judging the quality of the answers they are able to provide before they start making the rounds.

To begin with, there is a set of questions that is relevant to any business concept, internet-related or not:

1.  Who is the customer and what is their pain that is relieved through the new product or service?

Obviously, products and services that address real, significant customer needs are preferred to business concepts that are useful to very few customers, serve a marginal need at best, or have multiple pretty good substitutes. Enough said.

2.  How do you make money?

Surprise, surprise! Especially with technology businesses, business models matter. This is not meant to suggest that VCs are naive enough to expect business models to remain rigid over time, or to expect that entrepreneurs will have all the answers about how a new product/service can be priced from day one. What VCs look for in the early stages is a plausible roadmap leading to an extremely profitable business down the road--fully realising that the roadmap will undoubtedly change multiple times in the course of the business.

3.  Why is the addressable market really huge?

"Huge" is the operative concept here. Not tens or hundreds of thousands, but millions and millions of dollars. And these millions need to be directly linked to the core product/service the new concept will address-hence, "addressable" — not peripherally, kind of, maybe, by extension, one could argue, someday the business could have access to these sums.

4.  Is it unique?

VCs tend to shun "me-too" followers.

5.  How will you change the world in new and innovative ways?

6.  Who is the competition and what is your "unfair" competitive advantage?

How do you win out over all others?

For technology-related business, aside form these fairly standard questions on business concept validity, there is another relevant set of questions that are somewhat more subtle. These questions seldom apply to traditional businesses but can make all the difference between a multi-million-dollar concept and just another good idea-when it comes to technology companies.

7.  Does the business concept lead to positive reinforcing network effects?

In other words, does the value of the product/service increase with higher use or distribution? If such positive network effects are present, then a first-mover advantage coupled with decent execution and customer retention can translate into a tremendous barrier to entry for subsequent competitors.

8.  Can the business concept be implemented in a way that scales with the growth of the opportunity?

Transaction-based pricing and variable pricing models allow for more upside than flat rate, one-time licensing deals.

9.  Are there innovative marketing and "spread" techniques, like viral marketing that can leverage the full power of the web to promote the business concept?

The special catalyst for Hotmail’s torrid growth was "Viral Marketing" — not because any traditional viruses are involved, but because of the pattern of rapid adoption through word-of-mouth networks. Every customer becomes an involuntary evangelist for the company, and by using the product, they spread the marketing message to their friends. Viral marketing powerfully compounds the benefits of a first-mover advantage, and it’s something VCs eagerly look for when evaluating any technology start-up company.

 
Lastly, there is a set of questions that deals more with the execution of the business concept. At the end of the day, ideas are cheap, whereas building great companies that will stand the test of time is very difficult.

10.  Will you adapt?

The Internet is a disruptive technological dislocation. We are in an economic milieu where everything is changing quickly. Start-ups have the advantage of being nimble and being able to change business plans dramatically on a dime. Especially in the Internet era, a company’s competitiveness seems to depend on its velocity of thought and action.

11.  What are the barriers to entry?

Companies can grow more rapidly than ever before, but so too may they suddenly die from obsolescence. The critical differentiator is whether the company has built in switching barriers for its customers and barriers to entry for its competitors. Rapid growth is of no value without customer retention. Whenever VCs consider an investment in an Internet start-up company, they strategise about customer switching barriers, and the impact of the inevitable arrival of competitive imitators. The Internet supports an ecology of organisms, and the "fast follower" is a classic form.

12.  What are the key institutional skills needed to successfully execute the business concept?

Which ones are already present and where can you find the missing ones? Early stage VCs seldom see complete teams — and that’s OK. What is important is that the entrepreneurs be realistic about what their current team brings to the table and recognise potential management holes. Even the most brilliant business concepts don’t execute themselves.

13.  How much money do you need?

VCs will always have their own opinions on this question, but you need to set expectations. Tying financing needs to risk mitigation events is always a good idea (i.e. raise money to get you to the next big set of milestones, then expect to raise more at a higher valuation, if all goes well). Choosing your early-stage investor is one of the most important decisions you will make-don’t lose high valued-added investors over quibbling for valuation. Remember, the value at the end of the tunnel is the only one that counts — and getting the right partners on board is the surest way of speeding your business concept towards it.

14.  What are you in it for?

This question is often overlooked, or taken for granted by a lot of people, but is one that has to be clarified early on to ensure alignment between entrepreneurs and VCs. Some entrepreneurs are passionate about the space they’re operating in and want to change the world in some significant way; others are in it primarily for the money; yet others care more about their role than they care about the concept itself. Ask this question of yourself and then make sure that your partners (investors or otherwise) are clear on your motivations in order to avoid surprises and potential clashes later on.

 
Business models should be:

Realistic:  Built out of believable back-of-the-envelope assumptions on key operating metrics such as revenue per customer, acquisition costs, margins etc.

Internally consistent:  Claming value proportionately with value created by the business versus its partners.

Unbounded:  It’s always good to be able to make unlimited amounts of money out of your customer base. There should be no cap on the upside, such as a buyout contract with a larger firm. Avoid people bottlenecks to scalability. Often the young technology company finds that its growth is constrained by its ability to hire good people. This is why many of these companies try to engineer around people-intensive elements of their business, such as consulting and customisation.

Consider a "market shrink" strategy:  By lowering prices or offering free products, the new entrant can make it very painful for established companies with established distribution relationships to follow them.

Gain significant share by restructuring the basis of competition:  The new market size may be smaller, driven by Internet price efficiencies. There may be less revenue in a free email market, but it’s tough for Eudora and companies based on selling client software to follow Hotmail’s lead.

 
Obviously, there are many variables outlined here, and on top of that, the technology changes every day. It’s as if business were a game of chess — competitive and rife with strategy — but with the added twist that at any moment, a new piece may redefine the plane of play.

Suddenly, an incumbent technology business may find that the game has been redefined into a third dimension, and they have few pieces on the new playing board. Think of your business strategy as an iterative game, but keep your mind open to restructuring the playing field, especially with business models that are possible only on the Web.

 
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